Iyo Federal Reserve's interest rate inokwira "yakamira uye haina kumbomira", iyo musika ichaenda kupi mu-off-season?

Mumaawa ekutanga emangwanani ano, Federal Reserve yakazivisa kumiswa kwekukwira kwemitengo, kuchengetedza huwandu hwehuwandu hwemari yemubatanidzwa husina kuchinjika pa5.0% kusvika 5.25%.Izvi zvakagayiwa pachine nguva.
(Kuti udzidze zvakawanda nezve kukanganisa kwezvimwe zvigadzirwa zvesimbi, sengeSheet Pile Type 4, unogona kunzwa wakasununguka kutibata nesu)
Zvakakosha kuziva kuti musangano weFederal Reserve wemubereko wakaratidza kuti rwendo rwuno "kumbomira" kukwira kwemitengo, kwete "kumira" kukwira.Zvinotarisirwa kuti pachave neamwe maviri makumi maviri neshanu mabhesi ekukwira kwechiyero gore risati rapera.Uye Powell akaratidzawo pamusangano kuti zvingave zvisina kukodzera kuderedza mari yezvibereko gore rino, uye hapana mumwe pakati pemitezo yeFOMC akafanotaura kuderedzwa kwehuwandu muna 2023. Izvi zvinoreva kuti Fed haina kumira kukwidza zvikwereti, uye mukana we Fed yekucheka mhindu gore rino zvakare yakaderera zvakanyanya.
Kudzikira kweFed mukusimudzira mhindu panguva ino kunobatsira kugadzikana kwenguva nenguva kwemitengo yezvinhu, asi pachine mukana wekusimudza mhindu mune ramangwana, uye musika ucharamba uchivirisa kusavimbika.Zvigadzirwa zvepasi rose zvichiri munguva yekukatyamadzwa.
(Kana iwe uchida kuziva zvakawanda nezve indasitiri nhau paSimbi Sheet Murwi Saizi, unogona kutibata chero nguva)
Kubva pamaonero emusika wepamba, National Bureau of Statistics yakaburitsa data rehupfumi hwepamba muna Chivabvu nhasi.Pakati pavo, kukosha kwakawedzerwa kwemabhizimisi emabhizimisi pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa, nyika yakagadziriswa yeasset investment, real estate investment uye zvimwe zviratidzo zvine hukama zvakanyanya neindasitiri yesimbi zvese zvaramba.Izvi zvinoratidza kuti kudiwa kwemusika wesimbi muna May kwakanga kusina simba.Zvisineyi, kushata kwekuita kwedata, kunowedzera kufona kwemusika uye zvinotarisirwa kuti nyika iunze mitemo ine simba yekukurudzira mune inotevera nhanho.
(Kana iwe uchida kuwana mutengo wezvigadzirwa zvesimbi, sengeType 4 Sheet Murwiunogona kutibata nesu kuti tiwane quotation chero nguva)
Mukuwedzera, kugadzirwa kwesimbi, iyo yave iri yepamusoro-soro, yakapedzisira yadzokera shure.Maererano nedata kubva kuNational Bureau of Statistics, muna Chivabvu, nyika yangu yakasvibiswa nesimbi yakabuda yaiva mamiriyoni 90.12 emamiriyoni, gore negore kuderera kwe7,3%;avhareji yenyika zuva nezuva kubuda kwesimbi isina kuchena muna Chivabvu yaive 2.907 miriyoni matani, mwedzi-pa-mwedzi kuderera kwe5.9%.

Asi zvakakosha kucherechedza kuti kudiwa kwemazuva ano kwakapinda zvishoma nezvishoma mumwaka we-off-season, uye kutonhora kwakanyanya kuchamhembe uye kunonaya kwemvura kumaodzanyemba kuri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, izvo zvinosungirwa kurambidza zvakanyanya kuvaka kunze.Nokudaro, maitiro ekuda kusina simba mu-off-season yakaoma kuchinja, uye kudiwa kwemusika kwese kuchava mumutambo we "tarisiro yakasimba" uye "chido chisina simba".
Kubva pakuona kwemusika, mushure mokupinda munaJune, mutengo wesimbi wakawedzera zvakare pachena, uye misika yose inopa misika "isina kusimba mumwaka-kunze".
Munguva pfupi, akasiyana macro data epamba haasati ane tarisiro, asi nhevedzano yemitemo yakaunzwa nguva pfupi yadarika yakaunza raramo yetariro kumusika.Misika ine makwikwi anotyisa pakati penguva refu uye pfupi, uye mutambo wenguva pfupi hausati wasvika pakubudirira.Mitengo yesimbi ichiri munguva yekuchinja kukuru .