Iyo Federal Reserve yakasimudza mibairo ne50 basis points, uye mutengo wecoke uchasimudzwa muchikamu chechina.Mitengo yesimbi ichakwira zvakanyanya here?

2022 yapinda mumwedzi wapfuura, uye mitengo yesimbi yemumba yakaratidza "off-season rebound" maitiro kubva munaNovember.Nhau dzepamusha svondo rino dzakareruka, uye tarisiro yemusika iri kunyanya kukwira kwemhiri kweFed.The US inflation indicator CPI munaNovember, iyo ichangobva kuziviswa manheru eDecember 13, yakaderera kupfuura yaitarisirwa, ichiwedzera tarisiro yemusika yeFed's 50 basis point rate kuwedzera mwedzi uno.Zvichikanganiswa neizvi zvakanaka, masheya eUS akakwira, mitengo yemafuta yakakwira, uye masheya akawanda akawedzera kusvika pamwero wakati.
(Kuti udzidze zvakawanda nezve kukanganisa kwezvimwe zvigadzirwa zvesimbi, sengeSimbi Angle Bar ine Gomba, unogona kunzwa wakasununguka kutibata nesu)
Kubva muhafu yechipiri ya2022, nzvimbo yekutenga ivhu yemakambani epamusoro zana edzimba uye nzvimbo yekuvaka zvivakwa zvitsva zvese zvakadonha neinopfuura 45%.Kubva pakuona uku, kushandiswa kwesimbi mumabhizimisi edzimba kucharamba kuchichengetedza zvishoma muhafu yekutanga yegore rinotevera.Izvi zvichavawo chinhu chakakosha chinokanganisa kuchengetedza kwechando kwegore rino.
(Kana iwe uchida kuziva zvakawanda nezve indasitiri nhau paSlotted Simbi Angle Bar, unogona kutibata chero nguva)
Parizvino, hupfumi hwemagariro evanhu hwesimbi hwave huri pamwero wakaderera mumakore achangopfuura.Izvi zvinoreva, kunyange zvazvo gore richiswedera pedyo, simbi yesimbi mumaoko evatengesi vesimbi haisi yakawanda.Maererano nemafungiro akajairika, vatengesi vesimbi vanofanira kuzadza zvinyorwa zvavo uye kushingaira kutora chikamu mukuchengetedza kwechando.Sei simbi vatengesi vasingade kuunganidza munguva ino yechando?
Chekutanga, mitengo yesimbi yemumba yakakwirazve kweanopfuura mwedzi, uye mutengo wave kusvika ku4,000 yuan mark.Vatengesi vesimbi vanotenda kuti hapana nzvimbo yakawanda yepurofiti mumusika wesimbi mushure megore;Mushure meMutambo weChirimo, kudiwa kwezvigadzirwa zvesimbi hakugone kuburitswa muhuwandu hukuru.Vatengesi vakawanda vesimbi vakataura kuti kana vachizochengeta mashizha pakupera kwegore zvinoenderana nemutemo wemutengo wezvigadzirwa zvesimbi zvekuchengetedza kwechando.
(Kana iwe uchida kuwana mutengo wezvigadzirwa zvesimbi, sengeSlotted Angle Bar Factories, unogona kutibata nesu kuti tiwane quotation chero nguva)
Iyo 50 base base point rate kukwira neFed inenge iine chokwadi, asi chirevo chevakuru veFed chinokwezva kutarisisa zvakanyanya, kunyanya mushure mekukwira kwemitengo, iyo Fed icharamba ichikwira kusvika riini?Ko mhindu dzepamusoro dzicharamba dzichikwira here?Iyo hawkish kana dovish rhetoric yeFederal Reserve vakuru ichakwezva kutariswa kwakawanda, uye zvakare ichaona iyo yenguva pfupi mutengo maitiro, ayo anozowedzera simbi mutengo kusagadzikana kune imwe nhanho.Kana iyo musika ichidudzira izvi zvakanyanya, inosimudzira tarisiro yemusika uye kuwedzera zvigadzirwa, izvo zvinozobatsira mitengo yesimbi.
Pakati pese, misika yemazuva ano ine tarisiro yakasimba yakanaka kune iyo.Panguva imwecheteyo, pasi pekudzivirira kwechirwere chezvino chekudzivirira uye kutonga kwekugadzirisa mitemo, zvinotarisirwa zvekuda kugadziriswa mushure mezvikamu zviviri gore rinouya zvinogara zvichisimbisa.Naizvozvo, kuchine dhiraivha yakasimba yemitengo yedhisiki.Panguva imwecheteyo, kubva pamaonero ekupa uye kudiwa zvakakosha, kunyangwe kumanikidzwa kwekudonha kwekudiwa mumwaka-kunze kuchiripo, kubva pakuona kwekuita kwekuverenga, kupokana hakuna mukurumbira, uye zvimwe zviwanikwa zvemusika wedunhu zvishoma, vatengesi nesimbi yesimbi vane chido chakasimba chekusimudzira mitengo, uye mitengo yesimbi inoputika Zvakaoma kukwira nekudonha, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti pachava nenzvimbo yekuwedzera kuongorora.